Effect of technology development in the industrial high efficiency boiler using TIMES model

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Nyun Bae Park, Sang Yong Park, Jong Jin Kim, Dong Gu Choi, Bo Young Yun and Jong Chul Hong

Korea Institute of Energy Research, Korea
Pohang University of Science and Technology, Korea

: Expert Opin Environ Biol

Abstract

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Energy saving potential and carbon dioxide (CO2) reduction potential of boiler technologies in the Korean industrial sector up to 2035 were analyzed using TIMES (The Integrated MARKAL-EFOM System) model based on bottom-up optimization. Final energy consumption by industrial indirect heating boilers in 2013 accounts for 7% of Korea’s industrial energy consumption and 8% of the manufacturing sector’s consumption. Energy consumption of industrial indirect heating boilers is expected to increase about 25% between 2013 and 2035 in the baseline scenario. Economic potential against the baseline scenario through market competition between existing and new technologies is 5.6% for energy saving and 6.1% for CO2 reduction by 2035. Technical potential against the baseline scenario by deploying only the most efficient technologies in new installation demand is 7.9% for energy saving and 20.7% for CO2 reduction by 2035. The most efficient technologies by boiler technology categories were gas-firing super boilers. CO2 reduction potential is higher than energy-saving potential because fuel substitution toward gas was added to the energy-saving effect due to efficiency improvement. Regulation, incentives, information disclosure, and research and development of high-efficiency boiler technologies are necessary to realize technical potential beyond economic potential in industrial indirect heating.

Biography

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Nyun Bae Park has completed his PhD from Seoul National University. He is a Senior Researcher in the Energy Policy Team, Korea Institute of Energy Research. He has published more than 12 papers in the Energy and Environment Policy journals in Korea.

Email: park2050@kier.re.kr